Northern Star Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

NST Stock   17.90  0.34  1.94%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Northern Star Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.88. Northern Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Northern Star's Accounts Payable is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Receivables is likely to gain to about 196.8 M in 2024, whereas Short Term Investments are likely to drop slightly above 513 K in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Northern Star price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Northern Star Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Northern Star Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 17.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northern Star's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Northern Star Stock Forecast Pattern

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Northern Star Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Northern Star's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northern Star's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.80 and 19.70, respectively. We have considered Northern Star's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.90
17.75
Expected Value
19.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northern Star stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northern Star stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9869
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4981
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0303
SAESum of the absolute errors30.884
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Northern Star Resources historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Northern Star

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Star Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9517.9019.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9218.8720.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.4416.9218.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.270.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Northern Star

For every potential investor in Northern, whether a beginner or expert, Northern Star's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northern Star's price trends.

Northern Star Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northern Star stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northern Star could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Star by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Northern Star Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Northern Star's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Northern Star's current price.

Northern Star Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northern Star stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northern Star shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northern Star stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Northern Star Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Northern Star Risk Indicators

The analysis of Northern Star's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northern Star's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Northern Stock Analysis

When running Northern Star's price analysis, check to measure Northern Star's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Star is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Star's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Star's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Star's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Star to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.