Northumberland Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Northumberland Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Northumberland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northumberland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northumberland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Northumberland Bancorp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Northumberland Bancorp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Northumberland Bancorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Northumberland Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.04.

Northumberland Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Northumberland Bancorp Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northumberland Bancorp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northumberland Bancorp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Northumberland Bancorp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Northumberland Bancorp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Northumberland Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northumberland Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 29.50 29.50 29.50 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 24.23 24.23 32.45 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 26.73 29.08 31.44 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northumberland Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northumberland Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northumberland Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northumberland Bancorp.

Northumberland Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Northumberland Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Northumberland Bancorp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Northumberland Bancorp Hype Timeline

Northumberland Bancorp is now traded for 29.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Northumberland is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Northumberland Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.50. The company last dividend was issued on the 7th of December 2022. Northumberland Bancorp had 2:1 split on the 13th of May 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Northumberland Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Northumberland Bancorp Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Northumberland Bancorp Market Strength Events

Northumberland Bancorp Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Northumberland Bancorp

Other Consideration for investing in Northumberland Pink Sheet