Nexus Real Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

NXR-UN Stock  CAD 7.96  0.02  0.25%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nexus Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 7.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.37. Nexus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nexus Real stock prices and determine the direction of Nexus Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nexus Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Nexus Real's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 139.93, whereas Inventory Turnover is projected to grow to (24.84). . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 94.3 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 145.9 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Nexus Real Estate is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Nexus Real 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nexus Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 7.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nexus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nexus Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nexus Real Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nexus RealNexus Real Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nexus Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nexus Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nexus Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.65 and 9.29, respectively. We have considered Nexus Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.96
7.97
Expected Value
9.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nexus Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nexus Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.7583
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0156
MADMean absolute deviation0.1117
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3675
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Nexus Real. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Nexus Real Estate and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Nexus Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexus Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexus Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.647.969.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.576.898.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.140.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nexus Real

For every potential investor in Nexus, whether a beginner or expert, Nexus Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nexus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nexus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nexus Real's price trends.

Nexus Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nexus Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nexus Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexus Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nexus Real Estate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nexus Real's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nexus Real's current price.

Nexus Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nexus Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nexus Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nexus Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nexus Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nexus Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nexus Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nexus Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Nexus Real

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Nexus Real position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nexus Real will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Nexus Stock

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Moving against Nexus Stock

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  0.58LQWD LQwD FinTech CorpPairCorr
  0.43ERC Eros Resources CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Nexus Real could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Nexus Real when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Nexus Real - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Nexus Real Estate to buy it.
The correlation of Nexus Real is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Nexus Real moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Nexus Real Estate moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Nexus Real can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Nexus Stock

Nexus Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nexus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nexus with respect to the benefits of owning Nexus Real security.