Oasis Petroleum Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

OASPW Stock  USD 55.01  0.32  0.59%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Oasis Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 53.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.11. Oasis Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Oasis Petroleum polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Oasis Petroleum as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Oasis Petroleum Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Oasis Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 53.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84, mean absolute percentage error of 5.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 112.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oasis Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oasis Petroleum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oasis Petroleum Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oasis Petroleum pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oasis Petroleum pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7892
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8379
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0317
SAESum of the absolute errors112.1125
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Oasis Petroleum historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Oasis Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oasis Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.7355.0158.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.3049.5860.51
Details

Oasis Petroleum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oasis Petroleum pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oasis Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oasis Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oasis Petroleum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oasis Petroleum pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oasis Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oasis Petroleum pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Oasis Petroleum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oasis Petroleum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oasis Petroleum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oasis Petroleum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oasis pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Oasis Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Oasis Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Oasis Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oasis Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Oasis Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oasis Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oasis Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oasis Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.