OceanFirst Financial Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| OCFCP Preferred Stock | USD 25.20 0.05 0.20% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OceanFirst Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.52. OceanFirst Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
OceanFirst |
OceanFirst Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of OceanFirst Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OceanFirst Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OceanFirst Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OceanFirst Financial Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OceanFirst Financial | OceanFirst Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
OceanFirst Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OceanFirst Financial's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OceanFirst Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.69 and 25.59, respectively. We have considered OceanFirst Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OceanFirst Financial preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OceanFirst Financial preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9757 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0577 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.5225 |
Predictive Modules for OceanFirst Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OceanFirst Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OceanFirst Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for OceanFirst Financial
For every potential investor in OceanFirst, whether a beginner or expert, OceanFirst Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OceanFirst Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OceanFirst. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OceanFirst Financial's price trends.OceanFirst Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OceanFirst Financial preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OceanFirst Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OceanFirst Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OceanFirst Financial Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of OceanFirst Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of OceanFirst Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OceanFirst Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OceanFirst Financial preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OceanFirst Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OceanFirst Financial preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OceanFirst Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
OceanFirst Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of OceanFirst Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OceanFirst Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oceanfirst preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.333 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3275 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4719 | |||
| Variance | 0.2227 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2515 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1073 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with OceanFirst Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if OceanFirst Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in OceanFirst Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with OceanFirst Preferred Stock
Moving against OceanFirst Preferred Stock
| 0.54 | TFC-PO | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | TFC-PR | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | WF | Woori Financial Group | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | CFG-PE | Citizens Financial | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to OceanFirst Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace OceanFirst Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back OceanFirst Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling OceanFirst Financial Corp to buy it.
The correlation of OceanFirst Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as OceanFirst Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if OceanFirst Financial Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for OceanFirst Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for OceanFirst Preferred Stock Analysis
When running OceanFirst Financial's price analysis, check to measure OceanFirst Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OceanFirst Financial is operating at the current time. Most of OceanFirst Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OceanFirst Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OceanFirst Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OceanFirst Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.