Oncologix Tech Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Oncologix Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000088 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000189 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001. Oncologix Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oncologix Tech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Oncologix Tech is based on an artificially constructed time series of Oncologix Tech daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Oncologix Tech 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Oncologix Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000088 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000189, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oncologix Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oncologix Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oncologix Tech Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Oncologix Tech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oncologix Tech's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oncologix Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.50, respectively. We have considered Oncologix Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.000088
Expected Value
12.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oncologix Tech pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oncologix Tech pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.0165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0E-4
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Oncologix Tech 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Oncologix Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oncologix Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.000090.000090.00009
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oncologix Tech

For every potential investor in Oncologix, whether a beginner or expert, Oncologix Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oncologix Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oncologix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oncologix Tech's price trends.

Oncologix Tech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oncologix Tech pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oncologix Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oncologix Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oncologix Tech Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oncologix Tech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oncologix Tech's current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Oncologix Pink Sheet

Oncologix Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oncologix Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oncologix with respect to the benefits of owning Oncologix Tech security.