Orix Corp Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

OIXA Stock  EUR 98.50  1.00  1.01%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Orix Corp Ads on the next trading day is expected to be 98.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.52. Orix Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Orix Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Orix Corp Ads is based on a synthetically constructed Orix Corpdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Orix Corp 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Orix Corp Ads on the next trading day is expected to be 98.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.94, mean absolute percentage error of 10.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orix Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Orix Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Orix Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Orix Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orix Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.32 and 100.38, respectively. We have considered Orix Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
98.50
98.85
Expected Value
100.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orix Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orix Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.75
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.475
MADMean absolute deviation2.9396
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0296
SAESum of the absolute errors120.525
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Orix Corp Ads 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Orix Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orix Corp Ads. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.9798.50100.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.65100.62102.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
97.8998.8399.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Orix Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Orix Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Orix Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Orix Corp Ads.

Other Forecasting Options for Orix Corp

For every potential investor in Orix, whether a beginner or expert, Orix Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orix Corp's price trends.

Orix Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Orix Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Orix Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orix Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Orix Corp Ads Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Orix Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Orix Corp's current price.

Orix Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orix Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orix Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orix Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Orix Corp Ads entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Orix Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Orix Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orix Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Orix Stock

When determining whether Orix Corp Ads offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orix Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orix Corp Ads Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orix Corp Ads Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Orix Corp to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orix Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orix Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orix Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.