Office Properties Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OPINLDelisted Stock | USD 2.16 0.04 1.89% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Office Properties Income on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.59. Office Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Office Properties' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Office Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Office Properties Income from the perspective of Office Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Office Properties Income on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.59. Office Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 2.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Office |
Office Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Office price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Office using various technical indicators. When you analyze Office charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Office Properties Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Office Properties Income on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Office Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Office Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Office Properties Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Office Properties | Office Properties Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Office Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Office Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1927 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0848 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1765 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0542 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.59 |
Predictive Modules for Office Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Office Properties Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Office Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Office Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Office Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Office Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Office Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Office Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Office Properties' historical news coverage. Office Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 10.79, respectively. We have considered Office Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Office Properties is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Office Properties Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Office Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Office Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Office Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Office Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 8.55 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 3 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.16 | 2.24 | 3.70 |
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Office Properties Hype Timeline
Office Properties Income is now traded for 2.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Office is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 3.7%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Office Properties is about 3987.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.21. Office Properties Income has accumulated 2.54 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.Office Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Office Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Office Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how Office Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Office Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSEA | Landsea Homes Corp | 1.43 | 12 per month | 2.11 | 0.11 | 7.18 | (5.31) | 61.07 | |
| XIN | Xinyuan Real Estate | 0.03 | 3 per month | 4.88 | 0.01 | 13.55 | (8.90) | 36.91 | |
| GGEI | Green Giant | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| EQC | Equity Commonwealth | 0.48 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.35 | (1.86) | 9.98 | |
| ALBT | Avalon GloboCare Corp | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 12.31 | (14.12) | 48.54 | |
| LEJU | Leju Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MDRR | Medalist Diversified Reit | (0.20) | 10 per month | 3.28 | (0.03) | 5.62 | (4.67) | 17.17 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.38 | 8 per month | 0.77 | 0.21 | 2.47 | (1.86) | 8.03 | |
| CORR | Corenergy Infras | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Office Properties Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Office Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Office Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Office Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Office Properties Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Office Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Office Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Office Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Office Properties Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Office Properties Risk Indicators
The analysis of Office Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Office Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting office stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.54 | |||
| Variance | 72.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Office Properties
The number of cover stories for Office Properties depends on current market conditions and Office Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Office Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Office Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Office Properties Short Properties
Office Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Office Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Office Properties Income often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Office Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Office Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 261.3 M |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Other Consideration for investing in Office Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Office Properties Income check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Office Properties' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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