Prudential Financial Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| P1DT34 Stock | BRL 361.29 0.00 0.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Prudential Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 374.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 399.77. Prudential Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Prudential Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Prudential Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Prudential Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Prudential |
Prudential Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Prudential Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 374.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.55, mean absolute percentage error of 68.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 399.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prudential Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prudential Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prudential Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prudential Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prudential Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.3405 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.5535 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0195 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 399.7664 |
Predictive Modules for Prudential Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prudential Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prudential Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prudential Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prudential Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prudential Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prudential Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prudential Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prudential Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prudential Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 361.29 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 361.29 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 74.91 |
Prudential Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prudential Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prudential Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prudential stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.772 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Variance | 3.21 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Prudential Stock
When determining whether Prudential Financial is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Prudential Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Prudential Financial Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Prudential Financial Stock:Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.