Polen Smid Mutual Fund Forward View

Polen Smid Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Polen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Polen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Polen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Polen Smid is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Polen Smid value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Polen Smid Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Polen Smid on the next trading day is expected to be 58.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.76, mean absolute percentage error of 25.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 229.48.

Polen Smid Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Polen Smid

Polen Smid Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Polen Smid mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Polen Smid mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Polen Smid. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Polen Smid. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Polen Smid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polen Smid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 53.66 53.66 53.66 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 44.82 44.82 59.03 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 53.66 53.66 53.66 Details

Polen Smid After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Polen Smid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Polen Smid Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Polen Smid Hype Timeline

Polen Smid is at this time traded for 53.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Polen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Polen Smid is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.66. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Polen Smid Related Hype Analysis

Polen Smid Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Polen Smid Market Strength Events

Polen Smid Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Polen Smid

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Consideration for investing in Polen Mutual Fund