Potbelly Stock Forward View

Potbelly Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Potbelly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Potbelly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Potbelly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Potbelly is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Potbelly Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Potbelly Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Potbelly Co on the next trading day is expected to be 18.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.98.

Potbelly Stock Forecast Pattern

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Potbelly Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Potbelly stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Potbelly stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Potbelly Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Potbelly. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Potbelly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Potbelly. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 17.12 17.12 17.12 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 13.27 13.27 18.83 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 17.01 17.08 17.14 Details

Potbelly After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Potbelly Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Potbelly Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Potbelly Hype Timeline

Potbelly is at this time traded for 17.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Potbelly is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Potbelly is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.12. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.9. Potbelly had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Potbelly Related Hype Analysis

Potbelly Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Potbelly Market Strength Events

Potbelly Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Potbelly

Potbelly Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Potbelly Stock