Edge Midcap Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Edge Midcap Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Edge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Edge Midcap is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Edge Midcap Fund value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Edge Midcap Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Edge Midcap Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 9.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.22.

Edge Midcap Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Edge Midcap

Edge Midcap Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edge Midcap mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edge Midcap mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Edge Midcap Fund. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Edge Midcap. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Edge Midcap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edge Midcap Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 10.80 10.80 10.80 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 10.30 10.30 11.88 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 10.76 12.95 15.14 Details

Edge Midcap After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Edge Midcap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Edge Midcap Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Edge Midcap Hype Timeline

Edge Midcap Fund is at this time traded for 10.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Edge is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Edge Midcap is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.80. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Edge Midcap Related Hype Analysis

Edge Midcap Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Edge Midcap Market Strength Events

Edge Midcap Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Edge Midcap

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Consideration for investing in Edge Mutual Fund