Petrobras Distribuidora Pink Sheet Forward View
| PETRYDelisted Stock | USD 7.84 0.19 2.48% |
Petrobras Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Petrobras Distribuidora's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Petrobras Distribuidora hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Petrobras Distribuidora SA from the perspective of Petrobras Distribuidora response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petrobras Distribuidora SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.55. Petrobras Distribuidora after-hype prediction price | USD 7.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Petrobras |
Petrobras Distribuidora Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Petrobras price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Petrobras using various technical indicators. When you analyze Petrobras charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Petrobras Distribuidora Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petrobras Distribuidora SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Petrobras Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Petrobras Distribuidora's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Petrobras Distribuidora Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Petrobras Distribuidora | Petrobras Distribuidora Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Petrobras Distribuidora pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Petrobras Distribuidora pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8357 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1566 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0238 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.5536 |
Predictive Modules for Petrobras Distribuidora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Petrobras Distribuidora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Petrobras Distribuidora After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Petrobras Distribuidora at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Petrobras Distribuidora or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Petrobras Distribuidora, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Petrobras Distribuidora Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Petrobras Distribuidora's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Petrobras Distribuidora's historical news coverage. Petrobras Distribuidora's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.84 and 7.84, respectively. We have considered Petrobras Distribuidora's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Petrobras Distribuidora is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Petrobras Distribuidora is based on 3 months time horizon.
Petrobras Distribuidora Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Petrobras Distribuidora is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Petrobras Distribuidora backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Petrobras Distribuidora, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.84 | 7.84 | 0.00 |
|
Petrobras Distribuidora Hype Timeline
Petrobras Distribuidora is at this time traded for 7.84. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Petrobras is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Petrobras Distribuidora is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.84. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.25. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Petrobras Distribuidora last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.Petrobras Distribuidora Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Petrobras Distribuidora's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Petrobras Distribuidora's future price movements. Getting to know how Petrobras Distribuidora's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Petrobras Distribuidora may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALEGF | Allegroeu SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.56 | |
| LPPSY | LPP SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NGKSF | NGK Spark Plug | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.42 | |
| ZLPSF | Zooplus AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZOPLY | Zooplus AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MHCRF | Mothercare Plc Ord | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MINOF | Minor International Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.21 | |
| MNTHF | Minth Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DITHF | DS Smith PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BTOOY | Americanas SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Petrobras Distribuidora Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Petrobras Distribuidora pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Petrobras Distribuidora could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Petrobras Distribuidora by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Petrobras Distribuidora Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Petrobras Distribuidora pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Petrobras Distribuidora shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Petrobras Distribuidora pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Petrobras Distribuidora SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Petrobras Distribuidora Risk Indicators
The analysis of Petrobras Distribuidora's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Petrobras Distribuidora's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting petrobras pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Variance | 13.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Petrobras Distribuidora
The number of cover stories for Petrobras Distribuidora depends on current market conditions and Petrobras Distribuidora's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Petrobras Distribuidora is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Petrobras Distribuidora's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Other Consideration for investing in Petrobras Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Petrobras Distribuidora check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Petrobras Distribuidora's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account |