Phoenix Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PEVDelisted Stock  USD 0.20  0.01  5.26%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Phoenix Motor Common on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.74. Phoenix Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Phoenix's share price is approaching 39 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Phoenix, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Phoenix's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Phoenix and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Phoenix's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Phoenix Motor Common, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Phoenix hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phoenix Motor Common from the perspective of Phoenix response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Phoenix Motor Common on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.74.

Phoenix after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Phoenix Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Phoenix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phoenix using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phoenix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Phoenix is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Phoenix Motor Common value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Phoenix Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Phoenix Motor Common on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Phoenix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Phoenix's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Phoenix Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PhoenixPhoenix Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Phoenix stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Phoenix stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5155
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0285
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1626
SAESum of the absolute errors1.7359
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Phoenix Motor Common. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Phoenix. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Phoenix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phoenix Motor Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phoenix's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.200.200.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.190.190.22
Details

Phoenix Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Phoenix stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Phoenix could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Phoenix by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Phoenix Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Phoenix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Phoenix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Phoenix stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Phoenix Motor Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Phoenix Risk Indicators

The analysis of Phoenix's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Phoenix's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting phoenix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Phoenix Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Phoenix Motor Common check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Phoenix's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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