Pacific Horizon Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

PHI Stock   562.00  4.00  0.71%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Horizon Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 565.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 443.40. Pacific Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pacific Horizon stock prices and determine the direction of Pacific Horizon Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pacific Horizon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Pacific Horizon's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Liabilities is expected to grow to about 3.6 B, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (4 M).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Pacific Horizon is based on an artificially constructed time series of Pacific Horizon daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Pacific Horizon 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Horizon Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 565.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.37, mean absolute percentage error of 128.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 443.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Horizon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pacific Horizon Stock Forecast Pattern

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Pacific Horizon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pacific Horizon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Horizon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 564.14 and 565.86, respectively. We have considered Pacific Horizon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
562.00
564.14
Downside
565.00
Expected Value
565.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Horizon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Horizon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.2654
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.251
MADMean absolute deviation8.3661
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors443.405
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Pacific Horizon Investment 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Pacific Horizon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Horizon Inve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
561.35562.21563.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
443.12443.98618.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
560.25565.10569.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Horizon

For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Horizon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Horizon's price trends.

Pacific Horizon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Horizon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Horizon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Horizon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pacific Horizon Inve Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pacific Horizon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pacific Horizon's current price.

Pacific Horizon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Horizon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Horizon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Horizon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Horizon Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pacific Horizon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pacific Horizon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Horizon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Stock

Pacific Horizon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Horizon security.