Premier Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

PINC Stock  USD 22.84  0.42  1.87%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Premier on the next trading day is expected to be 22.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.99. Premier Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Premier stock prices and determine the direction of Premier's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Premier's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Premier's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.74, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 6.02. . As of November 23, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 89.2 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 146.2 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Premier is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Premier 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Premier on the next trading day is expected to be 22.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Premier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Premier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Premier Stock Forecast Pattern

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Premier Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Premier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Premier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.40 and 24.77, respectively. We have considered Premier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.84
22.58
Expected Value
24.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Premier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Premier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6812
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0917
MADMean absolute deviation0.4137
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0197
SAESum of the absolute errors23.995
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Premier. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Premier and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Premier

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5622.7424.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1724.3526.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.8720.9123.95
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.3126.7129.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Premier

For every potential investor in Premier, whether a beginner or expert, Premier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Premier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Premier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Premier's price trends.

View Premier Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Premier Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Premier's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Premier's current price.

Premier Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Premier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Premier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Premier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Premier entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Premier Risk Indicators

The analysis of Premier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Premier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting premier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Premier offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Premier's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Premier Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Premier Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Premier to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Premier Stock refer to our How to Trade Premier Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Premier. If investors know Premier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Premier listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.877
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
1.39
Revenue Per Share
12.155
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Premier is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Premier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Premier's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Premier's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Premier's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Premier's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Premier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Premier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Premier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.