Plata Latina Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PLA Stock  CAD 0.39  0.02  5.41%   
Plata Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Plata Latina's share price is approaching 49 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Plata Latina, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Plata Latina's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Plata Latina and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Plata Latina's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Plata Latina Minerals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Plata Latina's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Wall Street Target Price
6.5
Using Plata Latina hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plata Latina Minerals from the perspective of Plata Latina response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Plata Latina Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.60.

Plata Latina after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Plata Latina Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Plata price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plata using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plata charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Plata Latina simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Plata Latina Minerals are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Plata Latina Minerals prices get older.

Plata Latina Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Plata Latina Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Plata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Plata Latina's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Plata Latina Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Plata Latina  Plata Latina Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Plata Latina stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Plata Latina stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.7883
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0267
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0597
SAESum of the absolute errors1.6006
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Plata Latina Minerals forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Plata Latina observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Plata Latina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plata Latina Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.457.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.377.80
Details

Plata Latina After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Plata Latina at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plata Latina or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plata Latina, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Plata Latina Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Plata Latina's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plata Latina's historical news coverage. Plata Latina's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 7.88, respectively. We have considered Plata Latina's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.39
0.45
After-hype Price
7.88
Upside
Plata Latina is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plata Latina Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Plata Latina Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plata Latina is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plata Latina backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plata Latina, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.50 
7.43
  0.06 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.39
0.45
15.38 
6,755  
Notes

Plata Latina Hype Timeline

Plata Latina Minerals is at this time traded for 0.39on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Plata is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 15.38%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Plata Latina is about 99066.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.39. Plata Latina Minerals has accumulated 36.75 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 17.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Plata Latina Minerals has a current ratio of 27.61, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Plata Latina until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Plata Latina's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Plata Latina Minerals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Plata to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Plata Latina's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Plata Latina Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Plata Latina's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plata Latina's future price movements. Getting to know how Plata Latina's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plata Latina may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Plata Latina Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Plata Latina stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Plata Latina could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Plata Latina by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Plata Latina Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Plata Latina stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Plata Latina shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Plata Latina stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Plata Latina Minerals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Plata Latina Risk Indicators

The analysis of Plata Latina's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Plata Latina's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting plata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Plata Latina

The number of cover stories for Plata Latina depends on current market conditions and Plata Latina's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Plata Latina is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Plata Latina's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Plata Latina Short Properties

Plata Latina's future price predictability will typically decrease when Plata Latina's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Plata Latina Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Plata Latina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plata Latina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79 M
Shares Float18.1 M

Additional Tools for Plata Stock Analysis

When running Plata Latina's price analysis, check to measure Plata Latina's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plata Latina is operating at the current time. Most of Plata Latina's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plata Latina's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plata Latina's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plata Latina to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.