Playlogic Entertainment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PLGC Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Playlogic Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Playlogic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Playlogic Entertainment stock prices and determine the direction of Playlogic Entertainment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Playlogic Entertainment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Playlogic Entertainment's Cash is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory is expected to grow to about 2.3 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 12.8 M.

Playlogic Entertainment Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Playlogic Entertainment's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.1 M
Current Value
1.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
245.6 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Playlogic Entertainment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Playlogic Entertainment value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Playlogic Entertainment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Playlogic Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Playlogic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Playlogic Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Playlogic Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Playlogic EntertainmentPlaylogic Entertainment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Playlogic Entertainment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Playlogic Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Playlogic Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.0002, respectively. We have considered Playlogic Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.0002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
0.0002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Playlogic Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Playlogic Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria31.7713
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Playlogic Entertainment. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Playlogic Entertainment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Playlogic Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Playlogic Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Playlogic Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Playlogic Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Playlogic Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Playlogic Entertainment.

Other Forecasting Options for Playlogic Entertainment

For every potential investor in Playlogic, whether a beginner or expert, Playlogic Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Playlogic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Playlogic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Playlogic Entertainment's price trends.

Playlogic Entertainment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Playlogic Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Playlogic Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Playlogic Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Playlogic Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Playlogic Entertainment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Playlogic Entertainment's current price.

Playlogic Entertainment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Playlogic Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Playlogic Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Playlogic Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Playlogic Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Playlogic Entertainment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Playlogic Entertainment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Playlogic Entertainment Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Playlogic Entertainment Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Playlogic Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Playlogic Stock refer to our How to Trade Playlogic Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Playlogic Entertainment. If investors know Playlogic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Playlogic Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
0.248
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.112
Return On Assets
(0.47)
The market value of Playlogic Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Playlogic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Playlogic Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Playlogic Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Playlogic Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Playlogic Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Playlogic Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Playlogic Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Playlogic Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.