Piedmont Lithium Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PLLTLDelisted Stock | USD 0.12 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Piedmont Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28. Piedmont Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Piedmont Lithium's pink sheet price is about 63 indicating that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Piedmont, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Piedmont Lithium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Piedmont Lithium from the perspective of Piedmont Lithium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Piedmont Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28. Piedmont Lithium after-hype prediction price | USD 0.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Piedmont |
Piedmont Lithium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Piedmont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Piedmont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Piedmont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Piedmont Lithium Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Piedmont Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000036, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Piedmont Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Piedmont Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Piedmont Lithium Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Piedmont Lithium | Piedmont Lithium Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Piedmont Lithium pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Piedmont Lithium pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.8693 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0046 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.06 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2818 |
Predictive Modules for Piedmont Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Piedmont Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Piedmont Lithium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Piedmont Lithium After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Piedmont Lithium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Piedmont Lithium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Piedmont Lithium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Piedmont Lithium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Piedmont Lithium's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Piedmont Lithium's historical news coverage. Piedmont Lithium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 0.12, respectively. We have considered Piedmont Lithium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Piedmont Lithium is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Piedmont Lithium is based on 3 months time horizon.
Piedmont Lithium Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Piedmont Lithium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Piedmont Lithium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Piedmont Lithium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.12 | 0.12 | 0.00 |
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Piedmont Lithium Hype Timeline
Piedmont Lithium is at this time traded for 0.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Piedmont is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Piedmont Lithium is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.12. About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Piedmont Lithium was at this time reported as 0.16. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Piedmont Lithium had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:25 split on the 21st of January 2005. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.Piedmont Lithium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Piedmont Lithium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Piedmont Lithium's future price movements. Getting to know how Piedmont Lithium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Piedmont Lithium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LRSRF | Latin Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.95 | |
| BSRUF | Base Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LTHHF | Lithium Power International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STQNF | Strandline Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RXRLF | Rex Minerals Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CILLF | Capital Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CURUF | Consolidated Uranium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OSIIF | Osino Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APHLF | Alpha Lithium Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMSIY | ArcelorMittal South Africa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Piedmont Lithium Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Piedmont Lithium pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Piedmont Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Piedmont Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Piedmont Lithium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Piedmont Lithium pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Piedmont Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Piedmont Lithium pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Piedmont Lithium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Piedmont Lithium Risk Indicators
The analysis of Piedmont Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Piedmont Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting piedmont pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.87 | |||
| Variance | 97.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 112.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 47.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Piedmont Lithium
The number of cover stories for Piedmont Lithium depends on current market conditions and Piedmont Lithium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Piedmont Lithium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Piedmont Lithium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Other Consideration for investing in Piedmont Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Piedmont Lithium check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Piedmont Lithium's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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