Polymeric Resources Pink Sheet Forward View - Polynomial Regression

PLYRDelisted Stock  USD 35.00  0.00  0.00%   
Polymeric Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Polymeric Resources' share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Polymeric Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Polymeric Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Polymeric Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Polymeric Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Polymeric Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Polymeric Resources from the perspective of Polymeric Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Polymeric Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Polymeric Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Polymeric price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Polymeric using various technical indicators. When you analyze Polymeric charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Polymeric Resources polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Polymeric Resources as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Polymeric Resources Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Polymeric Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 34.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 3.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Polymeric Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Polymeric Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Polymeric Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Polymeric Resources  Polymeric Resources Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Polymeric Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Polymeric Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.2136
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.478
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0178
SAESum of the absolute errors29.157
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Polymeric Resources historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Polymeric Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polymeric Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Polymeric Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.0035.0035.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7826.7738.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.0035.0035.00
Details

Polymeric Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Polymeric Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Polymeric Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Polymeric Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Polymeric Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Polymeric Resources' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Polymeric Resources' historical news coverage. Polymeric Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.00 and 35.00, respectively. We have considered Polymeric Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.00
35.00
After-hype Price
35.00
Upside
Polymeric Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Polymeric Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

Polymeric Resources Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Polymeric Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Polymeric Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Polymeric Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.00
35.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Polymeric Resources Hype Timeline

Polymeric Resources is at this time traded for 35.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Polymeric is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Polymeric Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Polymeric Resources had 1:10 split on the 3rd of October 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Polymeric Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Polymeric Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Polymeric Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Polymeric Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Polymeric Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Polymeric Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Polymeric Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Polymeric Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polymeric Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Polymeric Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Polymeric Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Polymeric Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Polymeric Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Polymeric Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Polymeric Resources

The number of cover stories for Polymeric Resources depends on current market conditions and Polymeric Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Polymeric Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Polymeric Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Other Consideration for investing in Polymeric Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Polymeric Resources check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Polymeric Resources' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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