Polar Petroleum Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| POLRDelisted Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Polar Petroleum Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000077 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000017 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Polar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Polar Petroleum's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Polar Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Polar Petroleum Corp from the perspective of Polar Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Polar Petroleum Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000077 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000017 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Polar Petroleum after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Polar |
Polar Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Polar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Polar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Polar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Polar Petroleum Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Polar Petroleum Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000077 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000017, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Polar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Polar Petroleum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Polar Petroleum Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Polar Petroleum | Polar Petroleum Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Polar Petroleum stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Polar Petroleum stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 96.999 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0011 |
Predictive Modules for Polar Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polar Petroleum Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Polar Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Polar Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Polar Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Polar Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Polar Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Polar Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Polar Petroleum's historical news coverage. Polar Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Polar Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Polar Petroleum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Polar Petroleum Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Polar Petroleum Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Polar Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Polar Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Polar Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Polar Petroleum Hype Timeline
Polar Petroleum Corp is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Polar is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Polar Petroleum is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Polar Petroleum Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 7:1 split on the 6th of November 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.Polar Petroleum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Polar Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Polar Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Polar Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Polar Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECCE | Eagle Ford Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| PGNE | PrimeGen Energy Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARET | Arete Industries | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NORX | Norstra Energy | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NSLPQ | New Source Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| HDYNQ | Hyperdynamics Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,100 | |
| HYBE | Hybrid Energy Holdin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOQDQ | Sonde Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RKOS | Arkose Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | |
| TSCAF | Tuscany Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Polar Petroleum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Polar Petroleum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Polar Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polar Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Polar Petroleum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Polar Petroleum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Polar Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Polar Petroleum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Polar Petroleum Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Polar Petroleum
The number of cover stories for Polar Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Polar Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Polar Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Polar Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Polar Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Polar Petroleum Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Polar Petroleum's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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