ProfilGruppen Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

PROF-B Stock  SEK 102.00  0.50  0.49%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ProfilGruppen AB on the next trading day is expected to be 102.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.25. ProfilGruppen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ProfilGruppen stock prices and determine the direction of ProfilGruppen AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ProfilGruppen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for ProfilGruppen AB is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

ProfilGruppen 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ProfilGruppen AB on the next trading day is expected to be 102.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67, mean absolute percentage error of 4.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProfilGruppen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProfilGruppen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProfilGruppen Stock Forecast Pattern

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ProfilGruppen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProfilGruppen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProfilGruppen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 100.38 and 103.62, respectively. We have considered ProfilGruppen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
102.00
100.38
Downside
102.00
Expected Value
103.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProfilGruppen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProfilGruppen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.2743
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2939
MADMean absolute deviation1.6711
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0158
SAESum of the absolute errors95.25
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of ProfilGruppen. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for ProfilGruppen AB and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for ProfilGruppen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProfilGruppen AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.38102.00103.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.80103.75105.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
97.17100.75104.33
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ProfilGruppen

For every potential investor in ProfilGruppen, whether a beginner or expert, ProfilGruppen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProfilGruppen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProfilGruppen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProfilGruppen's price trends.

ProfilGruppen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProfilGruppen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProfilGruppen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProfilGruppen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProfilGruppen AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProfilGruppen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProfilGruppen's current price.

ProfilGruppen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProfilGruppen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProfilGruppen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProfilGruppen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ProfilGruppen AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProfilGruppen Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProfilGruppen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProfilGruppen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting profilgruppen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in ProfilGruppen Stock

ProfilGruppen financial ratios help investors to determine whether ProfilGruppen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ProfilGruppen with respect to the benefits of owning ProfilGruppen security.