Portman Ridge Stock Forward View

PTMNDelisted Stock  USD 12.27  0.00  0.00%   
Portman Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Portman Ridge's stock price is about 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Portman, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Portman Ridge's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Portman Ridge Finance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Portman Ridge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Portman Ridge Finance from the perspective of Portman Ridge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Portman Ridge Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 12.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.97.

Portman Ridge after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Portman Ridge Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Portman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Portman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Portman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Portman Ridge is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Portman Ridge Finance value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Portman Ridge Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Portman Ridge Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 12.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Portman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Portman Ridge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Portman Ridge Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Portman Ridge  Portman Ridge Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Portman Ridge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Portman Ridge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2745
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1143
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0096
SAESum of the absolute errors6.9714
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Portman Ridge Finance. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Portman Ridge. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Portman Ridge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Portman Ridge Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2712.2712.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1910.1913.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.2712.2712.27
Details

Portman Ridge After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Portman Ridge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Portman Ridge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Portman Ridge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Portman Ridge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Portman Ridge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Portman Ridge's historical news coverage. Portman Ridge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.27 and 12.27, respectively. We have considered Portman Ridge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.27
12.27
After-hype Price
12.27
Upside
Portman Ridge is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Portman Ridge Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Portman Ridge Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Portman Ridge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Portman Ridge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Portman Ridge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.27
12.27
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Portman Ridge Hype Timeline

Portman Ridge Finance is at this time traded for 12.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Portman is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Portman Ridge is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.27. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Portman Ridge Finance has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.5. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.94. The firm last dividend was issued on the 18th of August 2025. Portman Ridge had 1:10 split on the 26th of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Portman Ridge Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Portman Ridge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Portman Ridge's future price movements. Getting to know how Portman Ridge's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Portman Ridge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Portman Ridge Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Portman Ridge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Portman Ridge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Portman Ridge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Portman Ridge Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Portman Ridge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Portman Ridge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Portman Ridge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Portman Ridge Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Portman Ridge Risk Indicators

The analysis of Portman Ridge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Portman Ridge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting portman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Portman Ridge

The number of cover stories for Portman Ridge depends on current market conditions and Portman Ridge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Portman Ridge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Portman Ridge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Portman Ridge Short Properties

Portman Ridge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Portman Ridge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Portman Ridge Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Portman Ridge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Portman Ridge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.5 M
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Other Consideration for investing in Portman Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Portman Ridge Finance check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Portman Ridge's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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