PowerUp Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PWUP Stock  USD 11.50  0.09  0.78%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PowerUp Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.79. PowerUp Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although PowerUp Acquisition's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PowerUp Acquisition's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PowerUp Acquisition fundamentals over time.
  

PowerUp Acquisition Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the PowerUp Acquisition's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
0.0
Current Value
0.0
Quarterly Volatility
128.4 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for PowerUp Acquisition is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PowerUp Acquisition Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PowerUp Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PowerUp Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PowerUp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PowerUp Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PowerUp Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PowerUp AcquisitionPowerUp Acquisition Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

PowerUp Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PowerUp Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PowerUp Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.66 and 14.28, respectively. We have considered PowerUp Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.50
11.47
Expected Value
14.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PowerUp Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PowerUp Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5784
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1933
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0162
SAESum of the absolute errors11.7909
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PowerUp Acquisition Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PowerUp Acquisition. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PowerUp Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PowerUp Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PowerUp Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6911.5014.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.119.9212.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.5011.5011.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PowerUp Acquisition

For every potential investor in PowerUp, whether a beginner or expert, PowerUp Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PowerUp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PowerUp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PowerUp Acquisition's price trends.

PowerUp Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PowerUp Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PowerUp Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PowerUp Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PowerUp Acquisition Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PowerUp Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PowerUp Acquisition's current price.

PowerUp Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PowerUp Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PowerUp Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PowerUp Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PowerUp Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PowerUp Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of PowerUp Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PowerUp Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting powerup stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with PowerUp Acquisition

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PowerUp Acquisition position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PowerUp Acquisition will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against PowerUp Stock

  0.37PT Pintec TechnologyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PowerUp Acquisition could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PowerUp Acquisition when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PowerUp Acquisition - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PowerUp Acquisition Corp to buy it.
The correlation of PowerUp Acquisition is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PowerUp Acquisition moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PowerUp Acquisition Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PowerUp Acquisition can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for PowerUp Stock Analysis

When running PowerUp Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure PowerUp Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PowerUp Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of PowerUp Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PowerUp Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PowerUp Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PowerUp Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.