Qualigen Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| QLGNDelisted Stock | USD 3.20 0.22 7.38% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Qualigen Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.29. Qualigen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Qualigen Therapeutics' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Qualigen Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qualigen Therapeutics from the perspective of Qualigen Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Qualigen Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.29. Qualigen Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 3.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Qualigen |
Qualigen Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Qualigen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qualigen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qualigen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Qualigen Therapeutics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Qualigen Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Qualigen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Qualigen Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Qualigen Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Qualigen Therapeutics | Qualigen Therapeutics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Qualigen Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Qualigen Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7552 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0295 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2549 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0679 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.2921 |
Predictive Modules for Qualigen Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qualigen Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qualigen Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Qualigen Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Qualigen Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Qualigen Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Qualigen Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Qualigen Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Qualigen Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Qualigen Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Qualigen Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Qualigen Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Qualigen Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Qualigen Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qualigen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 14.35 | |||
| Variance | 205.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 59.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 42.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Qualigen Therapeutics
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Qualigen Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Qualigen Therapeutics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Qualigen Stock
| 0.88 | DOX | Amdocs | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | MSFT | Microsoft | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | BA | Boeing Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | GE | GE Aerospace Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | KG | Kestrel Group Symbol Change | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Qualigen Therapeutics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Qualigen Therapeutics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Qualigen Therapeutics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Qualigen Therapeutics to buy it.
The correlation of Qualigen Therapeutics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Qualigen Therapeutics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Qualigen Therapeutics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Qualigen Therapeutics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Other Consideration for investing in Qualigen Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Qualigen Therapeutics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Qualigen Therapeutics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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