American Century Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| QPFF Etf | USD 35.70 0.00 0.00% |
American Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Century's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of American Century's etf price is roughly 65 indicating that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling American, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Century hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Century Investments from the perspective of American Century response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Century using American Century's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Century's stock price.
American Century Implied Volatility | 0.0424 |
American Century's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Century Investments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Century's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Century stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Century's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of American Century Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 35.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.49. American Century after-hype prediction price | $ 35.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current American contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that American Century Investments will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.00265% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With American Century trading at $ 35.7, that is roughly $ 9.46E-4 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating American Century's daily price movement you should consider acquiring American Century Investments options at the current volatility level of 0.0424%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Century's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Century's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Century stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Century's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Century's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Century is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Century Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Century Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of American Century Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 35.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Century's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Century Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Century | American Century Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Century etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Century etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6715 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1392 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.004 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.4907 |
Predictive Modules for American Century
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Century Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Century After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Century at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Century or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of American Century, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Century Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Century's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Century's historical news coverage. American Century's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.70 and 35.70, respectively. We have considered American Century's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Century is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Century Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Century Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as American Century is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Century backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Century, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.70 | 35.70 | 0.00 |
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American Century Hype Timeline
American Century Inv is at this time traded for 35.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Century is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.70. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.American Century Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Century's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Century's future price movements. Getting to know how American Century's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Century may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MJUS | Amplify | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.71 | (5.31) | 30.14 | |
| OCTT | AIM ETF Products | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.47 | (0.09) | 0.62 | (0.92) | 2.50 | |
| JANT | AIM ETF Products | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.34 | (0.05) | 0.61 | (0.64) | 2.50 | |
| DVEM | DVEM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RESP | WisdomTree | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MOHR | Retireful | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JPGE | JPGE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TDSD | Exchange Traded Concepts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GHII | GHII | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PXLV | Invesco SP 500 | 0.86 | 1 per month | 0.48 | 0.04 | 1.35 | (1.04) | 3.00 |
American Century Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Century etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Century could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Century by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Century Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Century etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Century shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Century etf market strength indicators, traders can identify American Century Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Century Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Century's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Century's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2071 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2665 | |||
| Variance | 0.071 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0499 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.03) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Century
The number of cover stories for American Century depends on current market conditions and American Century's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Century is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Century's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
The market value of American Century Inv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Century's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Century's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Century's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Century's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.