RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

RATIY Stock  USD 40.76  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RATIONAL Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 40.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. RATIONAL Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RATIONAL Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 40.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RATIONAL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.76 and 40.76, respectively. We have considered RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.76
40.76
Expected Value
40.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When RATIONAL Aktiengesellschaft prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any RATIONAL Aktiengesellschaft trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.7640.7640.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.7640.7640.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha

For every potential investor in RATIONAL, whether a beginner or expert, RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RATIONAL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RATIONAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's price trends.

RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's current price.

RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify RATIONAL Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for RATIONAL Pink Sheet Analysis

When running RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's price analysis, check to measure RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha is operating at the current time. Most of RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RATIONAL Aktiengesellscha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.