Republic Bank Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| RBAZDelisted Stock | USD 21.55 0.00 0.00% |
Republic Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Republic Bank's share price is at 59 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Republic Bank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Republic Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Republic Bank from the perspective of Republic Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Republic Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 21.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88. Republic Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 21.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Republic |
Republic Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Republic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Republic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Republic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Republic Bank Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Republic Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 21.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Republic Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Republic Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Republic Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Republic Bank | Republic Bank Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Republic Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Republic Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0788 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.162 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.8808 |
Predictive Modules for Republic Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Republic Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Republic Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Republic Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Republic Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Republic Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Republic Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Republic Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Republic Bank's historical news coverage. Republic Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.55 and 21.55, respectively. We have considered Republic Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Republic Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Republic Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Republic Bank Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Republic Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Republic Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Republic Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.55 | 21.55 | 0.00 |
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Republic Bank Hype Timeline
Republic Bank is at this time traded for 21.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Republic is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Republic Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.55. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.Republic Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Republic Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Republic Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Republic Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Republic Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NUBC | Northumberland Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.15 | 2.06 | (1.47) | 7.91 | |
| PSBP | PSB Holding Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SQCF | Susquehanna Community Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.01 | 1.73 | (1.77) | 6.80 | |
| CFOK | Community First Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CMUV | CMUV Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.88 | (0.04) | 5.90 | |
| TSBA | Touchstone Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CSKL | Catskill Hudson Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.63 | (3.03) | 10.93 | |
| MIFF | Mifflinburg Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.85 | (1.61) | 6.48 | |
| MNBP | Mars Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FCCT | First Community | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1.44 | 0.00 | 6.60 |
Republic Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Republic Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Republic Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Republic Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Republic Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Republic Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Republic Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Republic Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Republic Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Republic Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Republic Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Republic Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting republic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.393 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1915 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8088 | |||
| Variance | 0.6542 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4564 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0367 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Republic Bank
The number of cover stories for Republic Bank depends on current market conditions and Republic Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Republic Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Republic Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Republic Bank Short Properties
Republic Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Republic Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Republic Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Republic Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Republic Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0409 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.28 |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Republic Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Republic Bank check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Republic Bank's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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