RENB Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RENBDelisted Stock   1.27  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RENB Old on the next trading day is expected to be 1.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.42. RENB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RENB Old stock prices and determine the direction of RENB Old's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RENB Old's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of RENB Old's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RENB Old's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RENB Old, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using RENB Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RENB Old from the perspective of RENB Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RENB Old on the next trading day is expected to be 1.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.42.

RENB Old after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

RENB Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RENB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RENB using various technical indicators. When you analyze RENB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for RENB Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RENB Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RENB Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RENB Old on the next trading day is expected to be 1.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RENB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RENB Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RENB Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest RENB OldRENB Old Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RENB Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RENB Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.338
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1052
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0432
SAESum of the absolute errors6.4195
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RENB Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RENB Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RENB Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RENB Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.271.271.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.211.211.40
Details

RENB Old After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of RENB Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RENB Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RENB Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

RENB Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting RENB Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RENB Old's historical news coverage. RENB Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.27 and 1.27, respectively. We have considered RENB Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.27
1.27
After-hype Price
1.27
Upside
RENB Old is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RENB Old is based on 3 months time horizon.

RENB Old Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RENB Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RENB Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RENB Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.27
1.27
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

RENB Old Hype Timeline

RENB Old is at this time traded for 1.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RENB is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on RENB Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.27. About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RENB Old recorded a loss per share of 2.43. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 30th of September 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

RENB Old Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to RENB Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RENB Old's future price movements. Getting to know how RENB Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RENB Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

RENB Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RENB Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RENB Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RENB Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RENB Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RENB Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RENB Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RENB Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RENB Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RENB Old Risk Indicators

The analysis of RENB Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RENB Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting renb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for RENB Old

The number of cover stories for RENB Old depends on current market conditions and RENB Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RENB Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RENB Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

RENB Old Short Properties

RENB Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when RENB Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RENB Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RENB Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RENB Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments220.5 K
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Other Consideration for investing in RENB Stock

If you are still planning to invest in RENB Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the RENB Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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