Ramsay Health Preferred Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

RHCPA Preferred Stock   105.50  0.02  0.02%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ramsay Health Care on the next trading day is expected to be 105.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.70. Ramsay Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ramsay Health stock prices and determine the direction of Ramsay Health Care's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ramsay Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Ramsay Health polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Ramsay Health Care as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Ramsay Health Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ramsay Health Care on the next trading day is expected to be 105.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ramsay Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ramsay Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ramsay Health Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ramsay Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ramsay Health's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ramsay Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 104.77 and 105.22, respectively. We have considered Ramsay Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
105.50
104.77
Downside
105.00
Expected Value
105.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ramsay Health preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ramsay Health preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8439
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2573
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0025
SAESum of the absolute errors15.6978
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ramsay Health historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Ramsay Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramsay Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.27105.50105.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.65104.88116.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
104.90105.27105.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ramsay Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ramsay Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ramsay Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ramsay Health Care.

Other Forecasting Options for Ramsay Health

For every potential investor in Ramsay, whether a beginner or expert, Ramsay Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ramsay Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ramsay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ramsay Health's price trends.

Ramsay Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ramsay Health preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ramsay Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ramsay Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ramsay Health Care Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ramsay Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ramsay Health's current price.

Ramsay Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ramsay Health preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ramsay Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ramsay Health preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ramsay Health Care entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ramsay Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ramsay Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ramsay Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ramsay preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Ramsay Preferred Stock

Ramsay Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ramsay Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ramsay with respect to the benefits of owning Ramsay Health security.