Retail Opportunity Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ROICDelisted Stock | USD 17.49 0.00 0.00% |
Retail Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Retail Opportunity stock prices and determine the direction of Retail Opportunity Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Retail Opportunity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Retail Opportunity's stock price is about 63 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Retail, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Retail Opportunity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Retail Opportunity Investments from the perspective of Retail Opportunity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retail Opportunity Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 17.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.85. Retail Opportunity after-hype prediction price | USD 17.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Retail |
Retail Opportunity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Retail price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Retail using various technical indicators. When you analyze Retail charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Retail Opportunity Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retail Opportunity Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 17.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Retail Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Retail Opportunity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Retail Opportunity Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Retail Opportunity | Retail Opportunity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Retail Opportunity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Retail Opportunity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.1958 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0139 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 8.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.8458 |
Predictive Modules for Retail Opportunity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retail Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Retail Opportunity After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Retail Opportunity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Retail Opportunity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Retail Opportunity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Retail Opportunity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Retail Opportunity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Retail Opportunity's historical news coverage. Retail Opportunity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.49 and 17.49, respectively. We have considered Retail Opportunity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Retail Opportunity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Retail Opportunity is based on 3 months time horizon.
Retail Opportunity Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Retail Opportunity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Retail Opportunity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Retail Opportunity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.49 | 17.49 | 0.00 |
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Retail Opportunity Hype Timeline
Retail Opportunity is at this time traded for 17.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Retail is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Retail Opportunity is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.49. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Retail Opportunity last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.Retail Opportunity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Retail Opportunity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Retail Opportunity's future price movements. Getting to know how Retail Opportunity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Retail Opportunity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NYMTG | NYMTG Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NYMTI | NYMTI Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GNL | Global Net Lease | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.24 | 2.49 | (1.36) | 8.05 | |
| RPT | Rithm Property Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.08 | 3.47 | (2.76) | 15.57 | |
| RTL | Pacer Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UBA | Urstadt Biddle Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PSB | PS Business Parks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VRE | Veris Residential | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.01 | 2.25 | (2.00) | 5.70 |
Retail Opportunity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Retail Opportunity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Retail Opportunity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Retail Opportunity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Retail Opportunity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Retail Opportunity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Retail Opportunity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Retail Opportunity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Retail Opportunity Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6.0E-4 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.49 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 63.53 |
Story Coverage note for Retail Opportunity
The number of cover stories for Retail Opportunity depends on current market conditions and Retail Opportunity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Retail Opportunity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Retail Opportunity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Retail Opportunity Short Properties
Retail Opportunity's future price predictability will typically decrease when Retail Opportunity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Retail Opportunity Investments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Retail Opportunity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Retail Opportunity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.3 M |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Other Consideration for investing in Retail Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Retail Opportunity check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Retail Opportunity's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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