Retail Opportunity Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ROICDelisted Stock  USD 17.49  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retail Opportunity Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 17.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.85. Retail Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Retail Opportunity stock prices and determine the direction of Retail Opportunity Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Retail Opportunity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Retail Opportunity's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Retail Opportunity's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Retail Opportunity Investments, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Retail Opportunity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Retail Opportunity Investments from the perspective of Retail Opportunity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retail Opportunity Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 17.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.85.

Retail Opportunity after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Retail Opportunity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Retail price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Retail using various technical indicators. When you analyze Retail charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Retail Opportunity is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Retail Opportunity Investments value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Retail Opportunity Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retail Opportunity Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 17.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Retail Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Retail Opportunity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Retail Opportunity Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Retail OpportunityRetail Opportunity Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Retail Opportunity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Retail Opportunity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1958
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0139
MAPEMean absolute percentage error8.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8458
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Retail Opportunity Investments. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Retail Opportunity. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Retail Opportunity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retail Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.4917.4917.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8014.8019.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.3417.4317.53
Details

Retail Opportunity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Retail Opportunity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Retail Opportunity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Retail Opportunity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Retail Opportunity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Retail Opportunity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Retail Opportunity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Retail Opportunity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Retail Opportunity Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Retail Opportunity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Retail Opportunity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Retail Opportunity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting retail stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Retail Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Retail Opportunity check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Retail Opportunity's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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