Rover Metals Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ROVMFDelisted Stock  USD 0.15  0.00  0.00%   
Rover Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Rover Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 21st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Rover Metals' share price is approaching 44 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rover Metals, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rover Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rover Metals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rover Metals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rover Metals Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Rover Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rover Metals Corp from the perspective of Rover Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rover Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48.

Rover Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Rover Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rover price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rover using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rover charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Rover Metals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Rover Metals Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Rover Metals Corp prices get older.

Rover Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rover Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rover Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rover Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rover Metals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rover Metals  Rover Metals Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rover Metals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rover Metals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 7.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.008
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0538
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4782
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Rover Metals Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Rover Metals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Rover Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rover Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.150.150.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.130.130.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.020.160.33
Details

Rover Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rover Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rover Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Rover Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rover Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rover Metals' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rover Metals' historical news coverage. Rover Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 0.15, respectively. We have considered Rover Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.15
0.15
After-hype Price
0.15
Upside
Rover Metals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rover Metals Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rover Metals Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rover Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rover Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rover Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.15
0.15
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Rover Metals Hype Timeline

Rover Metals Corp is at this time traded for 0.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Rover is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rover Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.15. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.71. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Rover Metals Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of August 2016. The firm had 1:6 split on the 31st of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Rover Metals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rover Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rover Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Rover Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rover Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Rover Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rover Metals pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rover Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rover Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rover Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rover Metals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rover Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rover Metals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rover Metals Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Rover Metals

The number of cover stories for Rover Metals depends on current market conditions and Rover Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rover Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rover Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Rover Metals Short Properties

Rover Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Rover Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rover Metals Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rover Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rover Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.6 M
Shares Float29.4 M
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Rover Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Rover Metals Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Rover Metals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world