REA Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

REA Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine REA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for REA using various technical indicators. When you analyze REA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for REA Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of REA Group Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

REA Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of REA Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 154.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07, mean absolute percentage error of 6.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.19.

REA Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REA Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REA Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of REA Group Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict REA Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for REA Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REA Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 153.63 153.63 153.63 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 132.72 132.72 168.99 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 149.22 154.04 158.86 Details

REA Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

REA Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

REA Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

REA Group Hype Timeline

REA Group Limited is at this time traded for 153.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. REA is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on REA Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 153.63. About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

REA Group Related Hype Analysis

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REA Group Market Strength Events

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