SalMar ASA Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SALM Stock  NOK 589.00  18.00  3.15%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of SalMar ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 562.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 767.18. SalMar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
SalMar ASA polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for SalMar ASA as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

SalMar ASA Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of SalMar ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 562.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.58, mean absolute percentage error of 236.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 767.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SalMar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SalMar ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SalMar ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SalMar ASASalMar ASA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SalMar ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SalMar ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SalMar ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 560.59 and 563.78, respectively. We have considered SalMar ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
589.00
560.59
Downside
562.19
Expected Value
563.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SalMar ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SalMar ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.5774
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation12.5768
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0226
SAESum of the absolute errors767.1819
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the SalMar ASA historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for SalMar ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SalMar ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
587.41589.00590.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
571.29572.88647.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
566.03583.00599.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SalMar ASA

For every potential investor in SalMar, whether a beginner or expert, SalMar ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SalMar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SalMar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SalMar ASA's price trends.

SalMar ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SalMar ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SalMar ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SalMar ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SalMar ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SalMar ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SalMar ASA's current price.

SalMar ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SalMar ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SalMar ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SalMar ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SalMar ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SalMar ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of SalMar ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SalMar ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting salmar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in SalMar Stock

SalMar ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether SalMar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SalMar with respect to the benefits of owning SalMar ASA security.