Victory Strategic Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression

SBALXDelisted Fund  USD 11.58  0.00  0.00%   
Victory Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Victory Strategic's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 13

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Victory Strategic's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Victory Strategic Allocation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Victory Strategic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Victory Strategic Allocation from the perspective of Victory Strategic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Victory Strategic Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 17.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.84.

Victory Strategic after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Victory Strategic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Victory price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Victory using various technical indicators. When you analyze Victory charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Victory Strategic price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Victory Strategic Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Victory Strategic Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 17.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 1.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Victory Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Victory Strategic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Victory Strategic Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Victory Strategic  Victory Strategic Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Victory Strategic mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Victory Strategic mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4222
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5712
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0369
SAESum of the absolute errors34.8432
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Victory Strategic Allocation historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Victory Strategic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Strategic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5811.5811.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5511.5512.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.9817.7821.59
Details

Victory Strategic After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Victory Strategic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Victory Strategic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Victory Strategic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Victory Strategic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Victory Strategic's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Victory Strategic's historical news coverage. Victory Strategic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.58 and 11.58, respectively. We have considered Victory Strategic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.58
11.58
After-hype Price
11.58
Upside
Victory Strategic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Victory Strategic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Victory Strategic Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Victory Strategic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Victory Strategic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Victory Strategic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.58
11.58
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Victory Strategic Hype Timeline

Victory Strategic is at this time traded for 11.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Victory is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Victory Strategic is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.58. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Victory Strategic Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Victory Strategic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Victory Strategic's future price movements. Getting to know how Victory Strategic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Victory Strategic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Victory Strategic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Victory Strategic mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Victory Strategic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Victory Strategic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Victory Strategic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Victory Strategic mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Victory Strategic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Victory Strategic mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Victory Strategic Allocation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Victory Strategic

The number of cover stories for Victory Strategic depends on current market conditions and Victory Strategic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Victory Strategic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Victory Strategic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Other Consideration for investing in Victory Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Victory Strategic check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Victory Strategic's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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