Scheerders Van Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SCHD Stock  EUR 388.00  66.00  20.50%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scheerders van Kerchoves on the next trading day is expected to be 409.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 753.96. Scheerders Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Scheerders Van is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Scheerders van Kerchoves value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Scheerders Van Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scheerders van Kerchoves on the next trading day is expected to be 409.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.36, mean absolute percentage error of 243.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 753.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scheerders Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scheerders Van's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scheerders Van Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Scheerders VanScheerders Van Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Scheerders Van Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scheerders Van's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scheerders Van's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 404.98 and 414.58, respectively. We have considered Scheerders Van's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
388.00
404.98
Downside
409.78
Expected Value
414.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scheerders Van stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scheerders Van stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.6075
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation12.36
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0372
SAESum of the absolute errors753.9621
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Scheerders van Kerchoves. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Scheerders Van. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Scheerders Van

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scheerders van Kerchoves. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
383.20388.00392.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
351.20356.00426.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
313.40362.58411.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Scheerders Van

For every potential investor in Scheerders, whether a beginner or expert, Scheerders Van's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scheerders Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scheerders. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scheerders Van's price trends.

Scheerders Van Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scheerders Van stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scheerders Van could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scheerders Van by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scheerders van Kerchoves Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scheerders Van's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scheerders Van's current price.

Scheerders Van Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scheerders Van stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scheerders Van shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scheerders Van stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scheerders van Kerchoves entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scheerders Van Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scheerders Van's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scheerders Van's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scheerders stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Scheerders Van

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Scheerders Van position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Scheerders Van will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Scheerders Stock

  0.65PROX Proximus NVPairCorr
  0.48SOFT Softimat SAPairCorr
  0.45BPOST Bpost NVPairCorr
  0.33DISL Immobiliere Distri LandPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Scheerders Van could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Scheerders Van when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Scheerders Van - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Scheerders van Kerchoves to buy it.
The correlation of Scheerders Van is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Scheerders Van moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Scheerders van Kerchoves moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Scheerders Van can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Scheerders Stock Analysis

When running Scheerders Van's price analysis, check to measure Scheerders Van's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scheerders Van is operating at the current time. Most of Scheerders Van's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scheerders Van's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scheerders Van's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scheerders Van to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.