Stronghold Digital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SDIG Stock  USD 4.90  0.25  4.85%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stronghold Digital Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 4.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.06. Stronghold Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Stronghold Digital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Stronghold Digital's current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 7.51. The Stronghold Digital's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.53. The Stronghold Digital's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 7.2 M, while Net Loss is forecasted to increase to (76.3 M).

Stronghold Digital Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Stronghold Digital's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2014-06-30
Previous Quarter
4.9 M
Current Value
4.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
14.6 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Stronghold Digital is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Stronghold Digital Mining value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Stronghold Digital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stronghold Digital Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 4.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stronghold Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stronghold Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stronghold Digital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Stronghold Digital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stronghold Digital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stronghold Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 10.75, respectively. We have considered Stronghold Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.90
4.31
Expected Value
10.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stronghold Digital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stronghold Digital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0538
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2633
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0546
SAESum of the absolute errors16.0632
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Stronghold Digital Mining. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Stronghold Digital. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Stronghold Digital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stronghold Digital Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.254.9011.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.2810.71
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.6217.1719.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Stronghold Digital

For every potential investor in Stronghold, whether a beginner or expert, Stronghold Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stronghold Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stronghold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stronghold Digital's price trends.

Stronghold Digital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stronghold Digital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stronghold Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stronghold Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stronghold Digital Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stronghold Digital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stronghold Digital's current price.

Stronghold Digital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stronghold Digital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stronghold Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stronghold Digital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stronghold Digital Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stronghold Digital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stronghold Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stronghold Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stronghold stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Stronghold Digital Mining is a strong investment it is important to analyze Stronghold Digital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Stronghold Digital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Stronghold Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stronghold Digital to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stronghold Digital. If investors know Stronghold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stronghold Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.80)
Revenue Per Share
7.636
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.048
Return On Assets
(0.16)
Return On Equity
(0.95)
The market value of Stronghold Digital Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stronghold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stronghold Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stronghold Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stronghold Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stronghold Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stronghold Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stronghold Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stronghold Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.