Superdry Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SEPGFDelisted Stock  USD 0.05  0.00  0.00%   
Superdry Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Superdry Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Superdry Plc's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Superdry Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Superdry Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Superdry Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Superdry Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Superdry Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Superdry Plc from the perspective of Superdry Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Superdry Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Superdry Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0507  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Superdry Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Superdry price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Superdry using various technical indicators. When you analyze Superdry charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Superdry Plc is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Superdry Plc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Superdry Plc Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Superdry Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Superdry Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Superdry Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Superdry Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Superdry Plc  Superdry Plc Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Superdry Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Superdry Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria43.4066
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Superdry Plc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Superdry Plc. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Superdry Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Superdry Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.050.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.040.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Superdry Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Superdry Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Superdry Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Superdry Plc.

Superdry Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Superdry Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Superdry Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Superdry Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Superdry Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Superdry Plc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Superdry Plc's historical news coverage. Superdry Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 0.06, respectively. We have considered Superdry Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.05
0.05
After-hype Price
0.06
Upside
Superdry Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Superdry Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Superdry Plc Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Superdry Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Superdry Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Superdry Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.05
0.05
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Superdry Plc Hype Timeline

Superdry Plc is at this time traded for 0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Superdry is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Superdry Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Superdry Plc was at this time reported as 1.06. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.27. Superdry Plc last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Superdry Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Superdry Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Superdry Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Superdry Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Superdry Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Superdry Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Superdry Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Superdry Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Superdry Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Superdry Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Superdry Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Superdry Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Superdry Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Superdry Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Superdry Plc

The number of cover stories for Superdry Plc depends on current market conditions and Superdry Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Superdry Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Superdry Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Superdry Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Superdry Plc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Superdry Plc's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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