Shanthi Gears Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| SHANTIGEAR | 523.05 0.35 0.07% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shanthi Gears Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 515.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 922.84. Shanthi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanthi Gears' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Shanthi |
Shanthi Gears 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shanthi Gears Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 515.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.41, mean absolute percentage error of 502.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 922.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanthi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanthi Gears' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Shanthi Gears Stock Forecast Pattern
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Shanthi Gears Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Shanthi Gears' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanthi Gears' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 513.04 and 517.48, respectively. We have considered Shanthi Gears' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanthi Gears stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanthi Gears stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.628 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.8471 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 17.4121 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.031 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 922.8437 |
Predictive Modules for Shanthi Gears
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanthi Gears Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shanthi Gears' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Shanthi Gears
For every potential investor in Shanthi, whether a beginner or expert, Shanthi Gears' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanthi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanthi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanthi Gears' price trends.Shanthi Gears Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanthi Gears stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanthi Gears could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanthi Gears by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Shanthi Gears Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanthi Gears' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanthi Gears' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Shanthi Gears Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanthi Gears stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanthi Gears shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanthi Gears stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanthi Gears Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Shanthi Gears Risk Indicators
The analysis of Shanthi Gears' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanthi Gears' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanthi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Shanthi Stock
Shanthi Gears financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanthi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanthi with respect to the benefits of owning Shanthi Gears security.