Shimao Property Pink Sheet Forward View

SHMAYDelisted Stock  USD 5.39  0.00  0.00%   
Shimao Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Shimao Property's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shimao Property's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shimao Property Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Shimao Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shimao Property Holdings from the perspective of Shimao Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shimao Property Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.75.

Shimao Property after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Shimao Property Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shimao price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shimao using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shimao charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Shimao Property is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Shimao Property Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Shimao Property Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shimao Property Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shimao Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shimao Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shimao Property Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Shimao Property  Shimao Property Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shimao Property pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shimao Property pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3379
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1762
MAPEMean absolute percentage error8.6004
SAESum of the absolute errors10.7498
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Shimao Property Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Shimao Property. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Shimao Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shimao Property Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.395.395.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.443.445.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shimao Property. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shimao Property's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shimao Property's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shimao Property Holdings.

Shimao Property After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shimao Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shimao Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Shimao Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shimao Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shimao Property's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shimao Property's historical news coverage. Shimao Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.39 and 5.39, respectively. We have considered Shimao Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.39
5.39
After-hype Price
5.39
Upside
Shimao Property is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shimao Property Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shimao Property Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shimao Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shimao Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shimao Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.39
5.39
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shimao Property Hype Timeline

Shimao Property Holdings is at this time traded for 5.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Shimao is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shimao Property is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.39. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.15. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shimao Property Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.28. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.45. The firm last dividend was issued on the 22nd of September 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Shimao Property Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shimao Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shimao Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Shimao Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shimao Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Shimao Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shimao Property pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shimao Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shimao Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shimao Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shimao Property pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shimao Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shimao Property pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shimao Property Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shimao Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shimao Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shimao Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shimao pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation1605.65
Standard Deviation6622.52
Variance4.385780597E7
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Shimao Property

The number of cover stories for Shimao Property depends on current market conditions and Shimao Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shimao Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shimao Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Other Consideration for investing in Shimao Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Shimao Property Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Shimao Property's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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