SilverCrest Metals Stock Forward View

SILVDelisted Stock  USD 11.55  0.10  0.86%   
SilverCrest Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of SilverCrest Metals' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SilverCrest Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SilverCrest Metals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SilverCrest Metals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SilverCrest Metals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SilverCrest Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SilverCrest Metals from the perspective of SilverCrest Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SilverCrest Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 11.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.91.

SilverCrest Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

SilverCrest Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SilverCrest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SilverCrest using various technical indicators. When you analyze SilverCrest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for SilverCrest Metals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SilverCrest Metals value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SilverCrest Metals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SilverCrest Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 11.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SilverCrest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SilverCrest Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SilverCrest Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SilverCrest Metals  SilverCrest Metals Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SilverCrest Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SilverCrest Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3075
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.31
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0307
SAESum of the absolute errors18.9098
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SilverCrest Metals. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SilverCrest Metals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SilverCrest Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SilverCrest Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5511.5511.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.289.2812.71
Details

SilverCrest Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SilverCrest Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SilverCrest Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SilverCrest Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SilverCrest Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SilverCrest Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SilverCrest Metals' historical news coverage. SilverCrest Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.55 and 11.55, respectively. We have considered SilverCrest Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.55
11.55
After-hype Price
11.55
Upside
SilverCrest Metals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SilverCrest Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.

SilverCrest Metals Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SilverCrest Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SilverCrest Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SilverCrest Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.55
11.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SilverCrest Metals Hype Timeline

SilverCrest Metals is at this time traded for 11.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SilverCrest is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SilverCrest Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.55. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SilverCrest Metals was at this time reported as 3.12. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 542.0. SilverCrest Metals had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

SilverCrest Metals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SilverCrest Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SilverCrest Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how SilverCrest Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SilverCrest Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SilverCrest Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SilverCrest Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SilverCrest Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SilverCrest Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SilverCrest Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SilverCrest Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SilverCrest Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SilverCrest Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SilverCrest Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for SilverCrest Metals

The number of cover stories for SilverCrest Metals depends on current market conditions and SilverCrest Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SilverCrest Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SilverCrest Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

SilverCrest Metals Short Properties

SilverCrest Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when SilverCrest Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SilverCrest Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SilverCrest Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SilverCrest Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding147.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments86 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Other Consideration for investing in SilverCrest Stock

If you are still planning to invest in SilverCrest Metals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the SilverCrest Metals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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