SilverCrest Metals Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SILVDelisted Stock | USD 11.55 0.10 0.86% |
SilverCrest Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of SilverCrest Metals' stock price is slightly above 69. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling SilverCrest, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SilverCrest Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SilverCrest Metals from the perspective of SilverCrest Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SilverCrest Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 11.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.24. SilverCrest Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 11.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SilverCrest |
SilverCrest Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SilverCrest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SilverCrest using various technical indicators. When you analyze SilverCrest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SilverCrest Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SilverCrest Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 11.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SilverCrest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SilverCrest Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SilverCrest Metals Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SilverCrest Metals | SilverCrest Metals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SilverCrest Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SilverCrest Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1693 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0405 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2707 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0265 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.2422 |
Predictive Modules for SilverCrest Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SilverCrest Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SilverCrest Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SilverCrest Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SilverCrest Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SilverCrest Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SilverCrest Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SilverCrest Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SilverCrest Metals' historical news coverage. SilverCrest Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.55 and 11.55, respectively. We have considered SilverCrest Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SilverCrest Metals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SilverCrest Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
SilverCrest Metals Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SilverCrest Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SilverCrest Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SilverCrest Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.55 | 11.55 | 0.00 |
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SilverCrest Metals Hype Timeline
SilverCrest Metals is at this time traded for 11.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SilverCrest is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SilverCrest Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.55. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SilverCrest Metals was at this time reported as 3.12. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 542.0. SilverCrest Metals had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.SilverCrest Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SilverCrest Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SilverCrest Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how SilverCrest Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SilverCrest Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RFP | Resolute Forest Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GATO | Gatos Silver | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PQG | Ecovyst | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MMX | Maverix Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STR | Sitio Royalties Corp | 0.07 | 8 per month | 1.77 | 0.0009 | 3.65 | (2.94) | 20.08 | |
| MATV | Mativ Holdings | 0.58 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.37 | (3.77) | 20.96 | |
| CCF | Chase | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MAG | MAG Silver Corp | 0.19 | 8 per month | 1.25 | 0.17 | 3.22 | (2.43) | 8.98 | |
| MTUS | Metallus | (0.40) | 10 per month | 3.53 | 0.02 | 3.83 | (3.82) | 20.50 |
SilverCrest Metals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SilverCrest Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SilverCrest Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SilverCrest Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SilverCrest Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SilverCrest Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SilverCrest Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SilverCrest Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SilverCrest Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SilverCrest Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of SilverCrest Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SilverCrest Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silvercrest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.46 | |||
| Variance | 11.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SilverCrest Metals
The number of cover stories for SilverCrest Metals depends on current market conditions and SilverCrest Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SilverCrest Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SilverCrest Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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SilverCrest Metals Short Properties
SilverCrest Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when SilverCrest Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SilverCrest Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SilverCrest Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SilverCrest Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 147.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in SilverCrest Stock
If you are still planning to invest in SilverCrest Metals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the SilverCrest Metals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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