Science In Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SIS Stock   26.00  0.50  1.89%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Science in Sport on the next trading day is expected to be 26.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.88. Science Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Science In stock prices and determine the direction of Science in Sport's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Science In's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Science In's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 29.4 M, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is forecasted to decline to about 24.5 M.
Triple exponential smoothing for Science In - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Science In prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Science In price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Science in Sport.

Science In Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Science in Sport on the next trading day is expected to be 26.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Science Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Science In's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Science In Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Science InScience In Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Science In Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Science In's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Science In's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.60 and 27.55, respectively. We have considered Science In's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.00
26.08
Expected Value
27.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Science In stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Science In stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0216
MADMean absolute deviation0.2014
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.008
SAESum of the absolute errors11.8804
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Science In observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Science in Sport observations.

Predictive Modules for Science In

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Science in Sport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9826.4527.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.1521.6229.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.1226.1527.19
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.02-1.02-1.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Science In

For every potential investor in Science, whether a beginner or expert, Science In's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Science Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Science. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Science In's price trends.

Science In Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Science In stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Science In could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Science In by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Science in Sport Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Science In's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Science In's current price.

Science In Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Science In stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Science In shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Science In stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Science in Sport entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Science In Risk Indicators

The analysis of Science In's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Science In's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting science stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Science Stock

Science In financial ratios help investors to determine whether Science Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Science with respect to the benefits of owning Science In security.