Shineco Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SISI Stock  USD 2.32  0.21  9.95%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shineco on the next trading day is expected to be 2.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.67. Shineco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shineco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Shineco's Fixed Asset Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Shineco's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.48, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.36. . The Shineco's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 5.6 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (12.6 M).
A four-period moving average forecast model for Shineco is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Shineco 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shineco on the next trading day is expected to be 2.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shineco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shineco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shineco Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ShinecoShineco Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Shineco Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shineco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shineco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 11.24, respectively. We have considered Shineco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.32
2.33
Expected Value
11.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shineco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shineco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.224
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.349
MADMean absolute deviation0.5381
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1105
SAESum of the absolute errors30.67
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Shineco. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Shineco and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Shineco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shineco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shineco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.3211.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.2311.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shineco

For every potential investor in Shineco, whether a beginner or expert, Shineco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shineco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shineco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shineco's price trends.

Shineco Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shineco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shineco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shineco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shineco Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shineco's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shineco's current price.

Shineco Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shineco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shineco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shineco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shineco entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shineco Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shineco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shineco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shineco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Shineco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Shineco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Shineco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Shineco Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shineco to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Shineco Stock please use our How to Invest in Shineco guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shineco. If investors know Shineco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shineco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(171.02)
Revenue Per Share
44.227
Quarterly Revenue Growth
13.101
Return On Assets
(0.14)
Return On Equity
(0.90)
The market value of Shineco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shineco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shineco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shineco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shineco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shineco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shineco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shineco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shineco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.