Semler Scientific Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SMLRDelisted Stock | USD 355.43 0.00 0.00% |
Semler Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today The value of RSI of Semler Scientific's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 94
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Semler Scientific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Semler Scientific from the perspective of Semler Scientific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Semler Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 355.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 578.23. Semler Scientific after-hype prediction price | USD 355.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Semler |
Semler Scientific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Semler price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Semler using various technical indicators. When you analyze Semler charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Semler Scientific Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Semler Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 355.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.80, mean absolute percentage error of 2,435, and the sum of the absolute errors of 578.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Semler Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Semler Scientific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Semler Scientific Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Semler Scientific | Semler Scientific Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Semler Scientific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Semler Scientific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.2326 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.3988 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 9.8005 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0756 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 578.23 |
Predictive Modules for Semler Scientific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Semler Scientific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Semler Scientific After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Semler Scientific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Semler Scientific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Semler Scientific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Semler Scientific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Semler Scientific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Semler Scientific's historical news coverage. Semler Scientific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.76 and 35,898, respectively. We have considered Semler Scientific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Semler Scientific is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Semler Scientific is based on 3 months time horizon.
Semler Scientific Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Semler Scientific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Semler Scientific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Semler Scientific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
17.82 | 135.05 | 0.18 | 1.14 | 16 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 16 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
355.43 | 355.25 | 0.05 |
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Semler Scientific Hype Timeline
Semler Scientific is at this time traded for 355.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.14. Semler is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 355.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 17.82%. The volatility of related hype on Semler Scientific is about 211015.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 354.29. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.68. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Semler Scientific had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 16 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.Semler Scientific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Semler Scientific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Semler Scientific's future price movements. Getting to know how Semler Scientific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Semler Scientific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CATX | Perspective Therapeutics | 0.07 | 8 per month | 5.03 | 0.13 | 8.14 | (8.80) | 77.44 | |
| SENS | Senseonics Holdings Common | (0.03) | 9 per month | 4.19 | 0 | 6.74 | (7.21) | 18.36 | |
| TMCI | Treace Medical Concepts | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 5.60 | (5.71) | 31.38 | |
| NPCE | Neuropace | (0.01) | 10 per month | 2.00 | 0.14 | 6.30 | (4.34) | 43.20 | |
| SRDX | SurModics | (0.09) | 3 per month | 1.26 | 0.07 | 2.09 | (2.90) | 49.69 | |
| OMI | Owens Minor | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.88 | (13.10) | 27.99 | |
| TOI | Oncology Institute | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.53 | (8.31) | 42.16 | |
| DCTH | Delcath Systems | (0.18) | 8 per month | 2.14 | 0.01 | 4.57 | (3.76) | 13.50 | |
| TCMD | Tactile Systems Technology | (0.43) | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.18 | 7.40 | (2.75) | 46.16 | |
| RXST | Rxsight | (0.05) | 7 per month | 3.74 | 0 | 7.97 | (5.79) | 23.38 |
Semler Scientific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Semler Scientific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Semler Scientific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Semler Scientific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Semler Scientific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Semler Scientific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Semler Scientific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Semler Scientific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Semler Scientific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 355.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 355.43 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 94.67 |
Semler Scientific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Semler Scientific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Semler Scientific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting semler stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 49.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 205.58 | |||
| Variance | 42263.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 37.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (64.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Semler Scientific
The number of cover stories for Semler Scientific depends on current market conditions and Semler Scientific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Semler Scientific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Semler Scientific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Semler Scientific Short Properties
Semler Scientific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Semler Scientific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Semler Scientific often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Semler Scientific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Semler Scientific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.9 M |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Other Consideration for investing in Semler Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Semler Scientific check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Semler Scientific's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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