Alps/smith Total Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| SMTRX Fund | USD 9.71 0.03 0.31% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alpssmith Total Return on the next trading day is expected to be 9.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.78. Alps/smith Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Alps/smith |
Alps/smith Total 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alpssmith Total Return on the next trading day is expected to be 9.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alps/smith Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alps/smith Total's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alps/smith Total Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alps/smith Total | Alps/smith Total Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alps/smith Total Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alps/smith Total's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alps/smith Total's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.34 and 9.91, respectively. We have considered Alps/smith Total's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alps/smith Total mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alps/smith Total mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 76.1925 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.05 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0678 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.007 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.778 |
Predictive Modules for Alps/smith Total
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpssmith Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Alps/smith Total
For every potential investor in Alps/smith, whether a beginner or expert, Alps/smith Total's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alps/smith Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alps/smith. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alps/smith Total's price trends.Alps/smith Total Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alps/smith Total mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alps/smith Total could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alps/smith Total by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alpssmith Total Return Technical and Predictive Analytics
The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alps/smith Total's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alps/smith Total's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alps/smith Total Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alps/smith Total mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alps/smith Total shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alps/smith Total mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Alpssmith Total Return entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.71 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.71 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.09 |
Alps/smith Total Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alps/smith Total's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alps/smith Total's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alps/smith mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2033 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2828 | |||
| Variance | 0.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Alps/smith Mutual Fund
Alps/smith Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alps/smith Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alps/smith with respect to the benefits of owning Alps/smith Total security.
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