Stryve Foods Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SNAXW Stock  USD 0  0  43.04%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stryve Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Stryve Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Stryve Foods' Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to climb to 4.35 in 2024, whereas Asset Turnover is likely to drop 0.46 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 1.8 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to climb to about (499.1 K) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Stryve Foods' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-03-31
Previous Quarter
447.3 K
Current Value
183.4 K
Quarterly Volatility
3.7 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Stryve Foods is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Stryve Foods value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Stryve Foods Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stryve Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stryve Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stryve Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stryve Foods Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Stryve FoodsStryve Foods Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Stryve Foods Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stryve Foods' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stryve Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000045 and 36.48, respectively. We have considered Stryve Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000045
Downside
0
Expected Value
36.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stryve Foods stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stryve Foods stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.6805
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.093
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Stryve Foods. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Stryve Foods. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Stryve Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stryve Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stryve Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0136.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00036.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Stryve Foods

For every potential investor in Stryve, whether a beginner or expert, Stryve Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stryve Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stryve. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stryve Foods' price trends.

Stryve Foods Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stryve Foods stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stryve Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stryve Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stryve Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stryve Foods' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stryve Foods' current price.

Stryve Foods Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stryve Foods stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stryve Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stryve Foods stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stryve Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stryve Foods Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stryve Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stryve Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stryve stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Stryve Stock Analysis

When running Stryve Foods' price analysis, check to measure Stryve Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stryve Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Stryve Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stryve Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stryve Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stryve Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.