Schneider Electric Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SND Stock   241.90  1.80  0.75%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Schneider Electric SE on the next trading day is expected to be 242.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.94. Schneider Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Schneider Electric - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Schneider Electric prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Schneider Electric price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Schneider Electric.

Schneider Electric Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Schneider Electric SE on the next trading day is expected to be 242.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.85, mean absolute percentage error of 13.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Schneider Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Schneider Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Schneider Electric Stock Forecast Pattern

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Schneider Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Schneider Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Schneider Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 241.20 and 244.30, respectively. We have considered Schneider Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
241.90
241.20
Downside
242.75
Expected Value
244.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Schneider Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Schneider Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7112
MADMean absolute deviation2.849
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0121
SAESum of the absolute errors170.9383
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Schneider Electric observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Schneider Electric SE observations.

Predictive Modules for Schneider Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schneider Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
240.35241.90243.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
216.16217.71266.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
235.50239.63243.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Schneider Electric

For every potential investor in Schneider, whether a beginner or expert, Schneider Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Schneider Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Schneider. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Schneider Electric's price trends.

Schneider Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Schneider Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Schneider Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Schneider Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Schneider Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Schneider Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Schneider Electric's current price.

Schneider Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Schneider Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Schneider Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Schneider Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Schneider Electric SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Schneider Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Schneider Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Schneider Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting schneider stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Schneider Stock Analysis

When running Schneider Electric's price analysis, check to measure Schneider Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schneider Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Schneider Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schneider Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schneider Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schneider Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.