Sunrise Communications Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SNREDelisted Stock   58.43  1.72  3.03%   
Sunrise Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sunrise Communications stock prices and determine the direction of Sunrise Communications AG's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Sunrise Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Sunrise Communications' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 12

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sunrise Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sunrise Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sunrise Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunrise Communications AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sunrise Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunrise Communications AG from the perspective of Sunrise Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sunrise Communications AG on the next trading day is expected to be 58.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.95.

Sunrise Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 58.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Sunrise Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunrise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunrise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunrise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sunrise Communications simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sunrise Communications AG are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sunrise Communications prices get older.

Sunrise Communications Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sunrise Communications AG on the next trading day is expected to be 58.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sunrise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sunrise Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sunrise Communications Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sunrise Communications  Sunrise Communications Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sunrise Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sunrise Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0882
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0335
MADMean absolute deviation0.6325
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0109
SAESum of the absolute errors37.95
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sunrise Communications AG forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sunrise Communications observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sunrise Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunrise Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.4358.4358.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.5749.5764.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
58.4358.4358.43
Details

Sunrise Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sunrise Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunrise Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunrise Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sunrise Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sunrise Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunrise Communications' historical news coverage. Sunrise Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.43 and 58.43, respectively. We have considered Sunrise Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
58.43
58.43
After-hype Price
58.43
Upside
Sunrise Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunrise Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sunrise Communications Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunrise Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunrise Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunrise Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
58.43
58.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sunrise Communications Hype Timeline

Sunrise Communications is at this time traded for 58.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sunrise is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sunrise Communications is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.43. About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sunrise Communications recorded a loss per share of 4.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of May 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Sunrise Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sunrise Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunrise Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Sunrise Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunrise Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DISHDISH Network 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RADIRadius Global Infrastructure 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MTSLMer Telemanagement Solutions 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MDPMeredith 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
STGWStagwell(0.24)11 per month 3.43 (0.01) 6.83 (5.55) 21.81 
ASTSAst Spacemobile(3.84)8 per month 6.64  0.16  14.34 (10.59) 33.41 
CNSLConsolidated Communications 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ADArray Digital Infrastructure 1.28 8 per month 1.70  0.16  3.45 (2.42) 10.82 
AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings(0.06)10 per month 0.00 (0.27) 5.71 (5.70) 22.56 

Sunrise Communications Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sunrise Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sunrise Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunrise Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sunrise Communications Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sunrise Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sunrise Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sunrise Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sunrise Communications AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sunrise Communications Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sunrise Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sunrise Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sunrise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sunrise Communications

The number of cover stories for Sunrise Communications depends on current market conditions and Sunrise Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunrise Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunrise Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Sunrise Communications Short Properties

Sunrise Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunrise Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunrise Communications AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunrise Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunrise Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments351.8 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Other Consideration for investing in Sunrise Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Sunrise Communications check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sunrise Communications' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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