Sonder Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SONDWDelisted Stock  USD 0  0  257.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sonder Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08. Sonder Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Sonder Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sonder Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sonder Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sonder Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sonder Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sonder Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sonder Holdings from the perspective of Sonder Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sonder Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.

Sonder Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.002917  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.

Sonder Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sonder price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sonder using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sonder charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Sonder Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sonder Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sonder Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sonder Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000227, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sonder Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sonder Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sonder Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sonder HoldingsSonder Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sonder Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sonder Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.115
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1766
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0758
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sonder Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sonder Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sonder Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonder Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sonder Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00019.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00019.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00060.010.02
Details

Sonder Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sonder Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sonder Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sonder Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sonder Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sonder Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sonder Holdings' historical news coverage. Sonder Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 19.47, respectively. We have considered Sonder Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
19.47
Upside
Sonder Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sonder Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sonder Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sonder Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sonder Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sonder Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  4.99 
19.47
  0.01 
  0.28 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
16.69 
927,143  
Notes

Sonder Holdings Hype Timeline

Sonder Holdings is at this time traded for 0. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.28. Sonder is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.002917 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 16.69%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -4.99%. The volatility of related hype on Sonder Holdings is about 35046.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.28. Sonder Holdings has accumulated 1.76 B in total debt. Sonder Holdings has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Sonder Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.

Sonder Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sonder Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sonder Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Sonder Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sonder Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sonder Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sonder Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sonder Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sonder Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sonder Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sonder Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sonder Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sonder Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sonder Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sonder Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sonder Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sonder Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sonder stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sonder Holdings

The number of cover stories for Sonder Holdings depends on current market conditions and Sonder Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sonder Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sonder Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sonder Holdings Short Properties

Sonder Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sonder Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sonder Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sonder Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sonder Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments95.8 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Sonder Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Sonder Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sonder Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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